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West Slopes South

Backcountry Avalanche Forecast

This is an archived product. View the most recent forecast.

Author: Sam Clairmont

Issued: Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 6:41 PM PDT

Expires: Monday, April 6, 2026 at 6:30 PM PDT

The Bottom Line

With another warm, sunny day in store for Monday, wet avalanches are still a concern across all aspects. You might be able to push an avalanche, but snow falling from cliffs and rocks is also possible. As temperatures climb and the snow turns mushy, shift to lower-angle slopes or more supportable surfaces, and limit your time traveling beneath cliffs and rocks. 

Avalanche Danger

Monday, April 6, 2026

Upper Elevations
8000-6500ft
2 - ModerateModerate
Middle Elevations
6500-5500ft
2 - ModerateModerate
Lower Elevations
5500-3500ft
1 - LowLow

Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Upper Elevations
8000-6500ft
1 - LowLow
Middle Elevations
6500-5500ft
1 - LowLow
Lower Elevations
5500-3500ft
1 - LowLow
Elevation Band Descriptions
Avalanche Danger ScaleLearn moreGeneral Info1 - Low2 - Mod3 - Cons4 - High5 - Extr
Low
1 - Low
Moderate
2 - Moderate
Considerable
3 - Considerable
High
4 - High
Extreme
5 - Extreme
Travel AdviceGenerally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
Likelihood of AvalanchesNatural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
Avalanche Size and DistributionSmall avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.Very large avalanches in many areas.

Avalanche Problems (1)

Problem #1: Wet Loose

Problem Type
Wet Loose
Aspect/Elevation
NNEESESSWWNW
Likelihood
CertainVery LikelyLikelyPossibleUnlikely
Size
Historic (D4-5)Very Large (D3)Large (D2)Small (D1)

(4/5/2026)

Intentionally triggered wet loose avalanches. Slides like this quickly show the snow has turned wet and unstable.

Video: Sam Clairmont

Warm temperatures continue to drive wet avalanche activity in the West South. A better overnight refreeze is possible Sunday night, but any surface crust will break down quickly once the sun comes up. As the snow softens, wet loose avalanches will be easier to trigger, especially later in the day. 

Use small test slopes to see how easy it is for the surface snow to slide. Work your way up in the terrain, starting with smaller, less consequential slopes. Start the day early, while temperatures are cooler and the snow is still supportable. As the day heats up, move off large steep slopes and seek out more supportable snow.

Along with wet avalanches, the continued warming could weaken cornices and cause snow to shed off of rocks and cliffs. Limit your time traveling on or beneath these features, especially during peak daytime temperatures.

Forecast Discussion

Sunday was another warm and calm spring day. Paradise weather station hit 61 degrees F at 5400' by mid-afternoon. Temperatures at 5000' have been above freezing since April 3rd. Observers around Paradise reported continued natural and skier-triggered wet loose avalanche activity. 

Monday is set to bring another warm and sunny day to the West South. Temperatures will cool slightly in the afternoon, but it's unlikely to have a large impact during the day. The snowpack currently consists of 12-15 inches of snow on top of the burly, thick 3/25 crust. Fortunately, this crust will limit any wet avalanche activity to the snow sitting above it.

The warm temperatures continue to degrade the travel conditions at lower elevations. Plan a little extra time to navigate the thin coverage, weakened snow bridges, and opened up creeks. As the day heats up, snow may begin to shed from rocks and cliffs overhead. On the volcanoes, shedding rime ice can be just as serious as shedding snow.

This information is provided by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service and describes general backcountry avalanche hazard and conditions. It does not apply to ski areas and highways where avalanche mitigation is conducted.