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Olympics

Backcountry Avalanche Forecast

This is an archived product. View the most recent forecast.

Author: Dallas Glass

Issued: Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 6:30 PM PDT

Expires: Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 6:30 PM PDT

The Bottom Line

Expect a spring-like pattern to the weather and avalanche conditions. A firm crust and a dusting of fresh snow should limit the hazard in the morning. If the snow gets wet and sloppy on steep sunny aspects, you may trigger a smaller wet slide in the afternoon.

Avalanche Danger

Sunday, March 22, 2026

Upper Elevations
6500-5500ft
1 - LowLow
Middle Elevations
5500-4500ft
1 - LowLow
Lower Elevations
4500-3000ft
1 - LowLow

Monday, March 23, 2026

Upper Elevations
6500-5500ft
0 - No RatingNo Rating
Middle Elevations
5500-4500ft
0 - No RatingNo Rating
Lower Elevations
4500-3000ft
0 - No RatingNo Rating
Elevation Band Descriptions
Avalanche Danger ScaleLearn moreGeneral Info1 - Low2 - Mod3 - Cons4 - High5 - Extr
Low
1 - Low
Moderate
2 - Moderate
Considerable
3 - Considerable
High
4 - High
Extreme
5 - Extreme
Travel AdviceGenerally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
Likelihood of AvalanchesNatural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
Avalanche Size and DistributionSmall avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.Very large avalanches in many areas.

Forecast Discussion

Mostly clear skies and cool temperatures Saturday evening should allow the snow surface to freeze solid. Eventually, clouds will increase overnight, and showers return to the Olympics. While Hurricane Ridge is only expecting an inch or so of new snow, more remote areas in the western portion of the range could see 3 to 4 inches. The combination of a frozen surface, a few inches of new snow, and a firm crust should limit the avalanche danger on Sunday. Expect generally safe conditions throughout the zone. 

Even with the low danger, you could encounter avalanche issues in isolated terrain. Here’s a rundown of a few situations to watch out for. 

  • Wind Slabs: Pockets of wind drifted snow could exist in the higher and wetter parts of the range. Look for scoured slopes and textured surfaces that help highlight potentially wind loaded features.
  • Wet Loose: The new snow could produce a few small rollerballs as skies clear in the afternoon. That’s not much of a wet loose concern. The real issue would arise if the underlying crust were to fully break down. This would be most likely on steep, rocky, southerly slopes. However, there’s just not much snow left in these areas. 
  • Shed-o-lanche: Blobs of snow could continue to fall off steep rocky terrain. Pay attention to what’s above you and don’t dilly dally under snow that’s still clinging to craggy faces or below crevasse-like glide cracks. These avalanches would probably be small, but could pack a huge punch due to the heavy wet snow. 

Last week was warm and rainy in the Olympics. It generally wet the snowpack, including old weak layers. While that’s great for overall stability, it’s bad for coverage. Lower elevations and southerly aspects are grim! Expect bare ground, random holes, and open creeks. Where there is snow, irregular surfaces, breakable crusts, and icy slopes could make travel tedious at best and dangerous at worst. Give yourself extra time to navigate all the travel challenges.

This information is provided by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service and describes general backcountry avalanche hazard and conditions. It does not apply to ski areas and highways where avalanche mitigation is conducted.